AI CEO: ‘Stock Crash Could Stop AI Progress’, Llama 4 Anti-climax + ‘Superintelligence in 2027’ ...
The latest on Llama 4, and whether it signals a slowdown in AI, or solid progress. Plus, a deep dive on that viral prediction of superintelligence by 2027, and Dario Amodei’s cautionary words on what could stop AI progress in its tracks. o3 news, and more, as well. Weights & Biases: https://weave-docs.wandb.ai/?utm_source=sponsorship&utm_medium=simple_bench&utm_campaign=ai_explained DeepSeek Doc: https://www.patreon.com/posts/openai-is-not-r1-125869969 AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Chapters: 00:00 - Introduction 00:47 - Stock Crash 02:28 - Llama 4 10:55 - o3 News 11:59 - OpenAI non-profit? 13:13 - AI 2027 Llama 4 Release: https://ai.meta.com/blog/llama-4-multimodal-intelligence/ Dario Amodei Comments: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=esCSpbDPJik Knowledge Cut-off: https://www.llama.com/docs/model-cards-and-prompt-formats/llama4_omni/ Aider Polyglot: https://aider.chat/docs/leaderboards/ Gemini 1.5: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2403.05530 Fiction-LiveBench: https://fiction.live/stories/Fiction-liveBench-Mar-25-2025/oQdzQvKHw8JyXbN87 OpenAI Valuation: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/31/technology/openai-valuation-300-billion.html?login=smartlock&auth=login-smartlock OpenAI Cybersecurity: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-16/openai-working-with-us-military-on-cybersecurity-tools-for-veterans Deep research System Card: https://cdn.openai.com/deep-research-system-card.pdf https://openai.com/index/paperbench/ AI 2027: https://ai-2027.com/ METR Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2503.14499 OpenAI non-profit: https://openai.com/index/nonprofit-commission-guidance/ NYT Piece: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/03/technology/ai-futures-project-ai-2027.html?unlocked_article_code=1.804._yKi.QhwOp15Q3tcU&smid=url-share&s=09 Kokotajlo predictions 2021: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6Xgy6CAf2jqHhynHL/what-2026-looks-like https://simple-bench.com/ Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/
